Ok, so my track record regarding whether to start or sit Lions quarterback Jared Goff is imperfect, and Week 5 was a huge miss. But last week was also a home game, and Goff's home-road splits are still impossible to ignore and Week 6 brings a trip to take on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.
Lions wide receiver Amon-Ra St. Brown (abdomen) is tracking toward playing against Tampa Bay after missing last week's game. That's obviously good news for Goff, who is off to a fantastic start this season.
The Buccaneers come off their Week 5 bye allowing the 10th-fewest fantasy points per game to quarterbacks (15.25 per game; Yahoo! scoring), as they're allowing 243 passing yards and one passing touchdown per game with six interceptions. That is skewed by facing a clearly not 100 percent Derek Carr in their last game, but two of the other quarterbacks they've faced (Justin Fields, Jalen Hurts) needed a rushing touchdown to post a notable fantasy day. Goff has two rushing touchdowns this season, but touchdowns are random and he is obviously not in the same class as Fields and Hurts as a running quarterback.
Fantasy Football: Jared Goff is a must-sit in Week 6
With bye weeks in play, it's easy to think Goff's fantasy owners may have to start him in Week 6 due to lack of a better option. But it is not a tough bye week, with only two teams idle (Green Bay Packers, Pittsburgh Steelers). So unless someone paired Goff with Jordan Love or Kenny Pickett in a draft and have kept them to now, there is surely a better option to use.
Goff has posted less than 13 fantasy points (Yahoo! scoring) in both of his road games this season, compared to at least 19 fantasy points (more than 23 twice) in all three home games. Here are a couple deeper notes, via NFL.com's Michael F. Florio and CBS Sports' Jamey Eisenberg respectively.
"He (Goff) has averaged 22 fantasy points per game at home and 12 per game on the road since last season. He’s averaged 2.5 passing touchdowns in 11 home games and 0.7 per game on the road in that span."
"He's been under 17.0 Fantasy points in 13 of his past 14 road games going back to 2021."
There is a context where Goff could be started his week. But even in two-quarterback/Superflex leagues, the upside is not there compared to someone who could be picked up off the waiver wire. Bench Goff in fantasy when he's playing on the road. It's not difficult.