Best Detroit Lions bets for Week 11 vs. Chicago Bears
As usual, before digging into Week 11's best bets, let's see how Week 10's best Detroit Lions bets did.
TE Sam LaPorta Parlay: Over 4.5 Receptions, Anytime Touchdown (+250, FanDuel): 4 receptions, zero touchdowns
RB Jahmyr Gibbs, 75-Plus Rushing and Receiving Yards (+175, DraftKings): 112 total yards
QB Jared Goff, 275-plus passing yards (+110, DraftKings; +100, FanDuel): 333 passing yards
Trying to get cute with the LaPorta parlay did not work out. But two out of three "ain't bad", as a famous singer once sang. On to a new week.
The Lions return to Ford Field in Week 11 to take on the Chicago Bears. They are heavy favorites, as expected, though the spread has narrowed a little since the start of the week with the return to action of Bears quarterback Justin Fields.
Via the sportsbook noted, here are our three best Lions bets for Week 11.
Best Detroit Lions bets for Week 11 vs. Bears
RB Jahmyr Gibbs, Over 3.5 receptions (+114, Draft Kings)
Entering Week 11, here's what the Bears have had done to them by opposing running backs in the passing game.
- Receptions (60): third-most in the league
- Targets (75): third-most in the league
- Receiving yards (615): most in the league
- Yards per reception (10.3): highest in the league
- Receiving TDs (5): most in the league
- Missed tackles as receivers (28): most in the league
Gibbs has had no less than five targets (and three catches) in each of his last four games, with 17 catches on his 20 total targets over the last three. The Bears have been very stingy against the run lately, so the path to bigger production for Gibbs seems likely to be through the air.
Over 3.5 receptions for Gibbs on Sunday, at plus-money on DraftKings (-102 on FanDuel)? I'll take it.
LB Alex Anzalone, Over .25 sacks (+270, DraftKings)
In a broad sense, Fields' return to action is great news for the Lions' pass rush. Anzalone will be an important piece of the equation containing Fields as a runner, and taking away short area targets in coverage. The latter of which he has been excellent at by the way, with a 89.9 grade in single coverage so far this year from Pro Football Focus-best among linebackers.
But Anzalone has also been a factor as a pass rusher, with three sacks, eight quarterback hits and eight quarterback pressures this season. On Sunday, there may be "just go get him" element when Fields breaks the pocket that puts him in line for sack.
RB David Montgomery, Anytime touchdown (-140, FanDuel; -145, DraftKings)
Going back to the well with one of this week's prop bets. Montgomery is going against his former team for the first time, and even though he's set aside the "revenge game" thing you know he'd like to score on Sunday. It's fair to assume it's something everyone wants for him against the Bears.
It's possible to get cute with a first touchdown scorer bet here, and it is big plus-money like those usually are (+500, FanDuel; +450, DraftKings). But a bet on Montgomery to score an anytime touchdown might be among the safest bets across the NFL slate this week.
Note: Odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.