Best Detroit Lions prop bets for Week 15 vs. Denver Broncos

Here's a look at our best Detroit Lions prop bets for Week 15 against the Denver Broncos.
Lon Horwedel-USA TODAY Sports

As usual, before digging into Week 15's Detroit Lions prop bets let's see how Week 14's bets did.

QB Jared Goff, Under 32.5 pass attempts (-130, FanDuel): 35 pass attempts
WR Jameson Williams, Anytime touchdown (+380, DraftKings; +500, FanDuel): 0 touchdowns
RB Jahmyr Gibbs, Over 9.5 rushing attempts (+112, FanDuel; +110 Draft Kings): 11 rush attempts

A tough game for the Lions yielded a 1-for-3 on the player props in Week 14. They will look to rebound in Week 15 at home against a Denver Broncos team that has won six of their last seven games.

The Lions are heavier favorites than you might expect based on their recent struggles (4.5 points on FanDuel and DraftKings), but the sportsbooks seem to see a rebound possibility at home on the Saturday night prime time stage.

Via the sportsbook noted, here are our top three Lions player props for Week 15.

Best Detroit Lions prop bets: Week 15 vs. Denver Broncos

TE Sam LaPorta, 50-plus receiving yards (+100, DraftKings)

The over on LaPorta's yardage prop (49.5 at Draft Kings; 47.5 at FanDuel) is an enticing bet this week, against a Broncos' defense that has still been bad against tight ends even as it has played better lately.

  • Catch rate allowed: 75.5 percent (7th-worst)
  • Yards per catch allowed: 11.3 (5th-worst)
  • Receiving yards allowed: 902 (second-most)
  • Receptions allowed: 80 (3rd-most)
  • Fantasy points allowed: 2nd-most in any scoring format

Eight of 11 tight ends who've had at least five targets against the Broncos this season had topped 50 yards. Go to at least six targets, and six of seven have done it. LaPorta has had at least five targets in every game but one this season, and at least six targets eight times.

RB David Montgomery, Over 65.5 rushing yards (-115, DraftKings)

As Jahmyr Gibbs has emerged, Montgomery has played less than 30 snaps with a 40 percent or lower snap share in four of the last five games. But he has topped 65 yards in each of those same four games, and he has not faced a run defense quite as generous as Denver's lately.

The Broncos have allowed a league-worst 5.1 yards per carry this season, including 5.4 yards per carry to running backs.

The over-under on Montgomery's rush attempts, on both FanDuel and DraftKings, is 14.5. He'd need 12 or 13 carries to cash the over 65.5 rushing yards, based on what Denver's run defense is allowing on the ground, so I'm not overthinking it here.

DE Aidan Hutchinson, Over 0.75 sacks (-125, DraftKings)

Hutchinson made a couple big mistakes and last week's loss to the Bears, and it's safe to say he's plenty motivated to fix it. He will have to be careful to harness that aggression. But the Broncos have allowed 38 sacks his season (tied sixth-most in the league), with a fair amount of them driven by Russell Wilson's playing style.

Hutchinson could be sitting on a big game Saturday night. Betting on one sack feels easy.

Note: Odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.


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