1. Lions win by double-digits
Vegas expects a close game on Sunday, with the line shifting to favor the Lions by a point on the news the Jets were going to be starting Zach Wilson. It has now shifted back again, to favor the Jets by a point as of Saturday morning on FanDuel Sportsbook (odds subject to change). But there is an angle where, if a team is going to win decisively, it will be the Lions.
The Jets certainly want to minimize what Wilson has to do to keep their offense rolling, as he is far more likely to have a negative impact rather than a positive one. The aforementioned stat anecdote from Mina Kimes means short, quick passes will be tough to have success with, and also as previously mentioned the Lions’ run defense has been good over their last six games–holding the likes of Aaron Jones, Saquon Barkley and Dalvin Cook particularly in-check.
If the Lions can put the Jets’ offense in adverse situations regularly, which is naturally going to be easier than it looked like it would’ve been a few days ago, Wilson surely won’t be up to the task. Momentum could roll Detroit’s way over time, and lately they’ve shown an ability to not let up/finish games.
Let’s finish this bold prediction with a score prediction. Lions 24, Jets 13.