In the history of the NFL, just two players have amassed 10,000 yards receiving before turning 30-years old. Randy Moss was the first and Arizona Cardinals wide receiver Larry Fitzgerald became the second in last Sunday’s loss to the Buffalo Bills.
The player with the best shot at becoming the third player to accomplish the feat is Calvin Johnson.
Johnson won’t turn 30-years old until September 25, 2015, giving him the rest of this year, all of the 2013 and 2014 seasons and likely two games in 2015 to get to the 10,000-yard mark. Assuming good health, that’s 45 games for CJ to total another 3,570 yards on top of the 6,430 he already has. It just so happens that calculates out to an average of a hair over 79.3 yards per game while Calvin’s career average sits at 79.4 receiving yards per game.
But Calvin has been producing at a rate far above his career average over the last two seasons. He averaged 105.1 yards per game a year ago and is off to a 111.6 yards per game start to this season. While that kind of pace hasn’t historically proven sustainable, an average from here on out of 95 receiving yards per game puts Johnson at the 10,000 yard mark sometime around Thanksgiving 2014.