Accuscore: Detroit Lions are Underdogs But Not as Much as Last Week


Each week, Accuscore crunches the numbers and runs thousands of simulations to determine the likely outcome of each NFL game. Their projections can be depressing to read as a Lions fan since the likely outcome almost always involves the Lions losing.

Accuscore predicts the Lions’ winning streak to end at one. They give the Bucs a 71% chance to win but the good news is that the Lions pulled off an upset win last week after Accuscore gave them just a 24% chance to win. Here is the rest of what Accuscore had to say:

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers are a solid favorite with a 71% chance to beat the Detroit Lions. LeGarrette Blount is projected for 87 rushing yards and a 46% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 29% of simulations where Detroit Lions wins, Shaun Hill averages 1.23 TD passes vs 0.56 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.78 TDs to 1 interceptions. Jahvid Best averages 47 rushing yards and 0.38 rushing TDs when Detroit Lions wins and 29 yards and 0.16 TDs in losses. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers has a 66% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 85% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is TB -5.5 — Over/Under line is 43.5

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