Each week, Accuscore crunches the numbers and runs thousands of simulations to determine the likely outcome of each NFL game. Their projections can be depressing to read as a Lions fan since the likely outcome almost always involves the Lions losing.
Accuscore predicts the Lions’ winning streak to end at one. They give the Bucs a 71% chance to win but the good news is that the Lions pulled off an upset win last week after Accuscore gave them just a 24% chance to win. Here is the rest of what Accuscore had to say:
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers are a solid favorite with a 71% chance to beat the Detroit Lions. LeGarrette Blount is projected for 87 rushing yards and a 46% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 29% of simulations where Detroit Lions wins, Shaun Hill averages 1.23 TD passes vs 0.56 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.78 TDs to 1 interceptions. Jahvid Best averages 47 rushing yards and 0.38 rushing TDs when Detroit Lions wins and 29 yards and 0.16 TDs in losses. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers has a 66% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 85% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is TB -5.5 — Over/Under line is 43.5