The Lions played a close game at Lambeau Field earlier this year so it might stand to reason that they have a shot to knock of the Green Bay Packers at Ford Field on Sunday. Not so much, says Accuscore.
Perhaps the expectation would be different if Drew Stanton wasn’t looking likely to make his second consecutive start. Even the simulations that produced a Lions victory predict that he will throw an interception.
Here is what Accuscore has to say about the game:
The Green Bay Packers are a heavy favorite winning 76% of simulations over the Detroit Lions. Aaron Rodgers is averaging 264 passing yards and 2.13 TDs per simulation and James Starks is projected for 34 rushing yards and a 21% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 24% of simulations where Detroit Lions wins, Drew Stanton averages 1.28 TD passes vs 0.97 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.94 TDs to 1.79 interceptions. Jahvid Best averages 77 rushing yards and 0.63 rushing TDs when Detroit Lions wins and 41 yards and 0.22 TDs in losses. The Green Bay Packers have a 62% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 90% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is DET +7 — Over/Under line is 47
What do you think Lions fans? Fair or foul?